Scenario methods can be used to anticipate the future and expand the creativity of people thinking about complex forest management situations. This manual describes the use of scenarios with multiple stakeholders, with examples drawn from community-based forest management. Four classes of scenario methods are described: visions, projections, pathways and alternative scenarios. Examples of rapid participatory techniques relevant to scenario methods are also summarised. It is hoped that these methods will be useful in bringing together different groups of people concerned about forest management to exchange views, expand the realm of decision possibilities and reach more innovative solutions.
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DOI:
https://doi.org/10.17528/cifor/000907Pontuação Altmetric:
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Ano de publicação
2001
Autores
Wollenberg, E.; Edmunds, D.; Buck, L.
Idioma
Indonesian
Palavras-chave
change, adaptation, environmental factors, forest management, guidelines, handbooks, learning, planning, methodology, uncertainty, community involvement, social scientists
