Assertion of the validity of the way agents’ decision-making remains one of the central epistemological problems in empirical agent-based model (ABM) simulations. Reliable and robust models of individual and group-level decision-making are needed if scenarios are to be relevant for policies with implications in natural resource management. Serious games (in the form of role-playing games) have emerged as stakeholder-centric ways of parameterizing human behavior and decision-making and validating ABM results. Iterations between games and ABMs may offer attractive options for quality control in salient, credible, and legitimate ABM use. However, a revisit to a validated case study after six years suggested that models and games generate ‘prospects’ rather than ‘predictions’ as events not foreseen in model development added to recognized parameter uncertainty.
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2023.101323Pontuação Altmetric:
Dimensões Contagem de citações:
Ano de publicação
2023
Autores
Villamor, G.B.; van Noordwijk, M.; Troitzsch, K.G.
Idioma
English
Palavras-chave
games, simulation models, decision making, natural resource management
